Riviera should set up better for him off-the-tee than TPC Scottsdale, and he has the complete game to contend again this week. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. He drives the ball beautifully, ranked inside the top 10 in SG/off the tee this season, and he hits his long irons very well. For every tournament, bettors can place a slew of prop bets on everything. Scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Finau had a stretch of 10 straight events in which he gained strokes putting, but that came to an end with losses in two straight. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (+650, Bet365) Keegan hasnt missed a cut at Bay Hill in his 10 most recent appearances at Bay Hill, which includes four finishes of 11th or better. The metrics are sour with no signs of them turning around. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Xander Schauffele (24-1, FanDuel) Bay Hill is a demanding test overall, and Schauffele has an all-around game thats as good as anyones. Outside of those events, Cantlay has been stellar. Before placing a wager on a specific golfer or matchup, you can check out how theyre doing in previous rounds. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. For comparison's sake, the first round of The Honda Classic Thursday afternoon on Golf Channel drew 342,000 and 50,000 in the 18-49 demo. PGA DFS Lineup Picks - Daily Fantasy Golf Sleepers - RotoBaller "This is a game of misses. Houston Open: Sepp Straka. I expect the Japanese superstar to remind us that he is still a top-20 player in the world and have a great chance to pick up PGA Tour victory No. Its a good number if nothing else. Golf Digest - The news rattled through golf like a shockwave, rumbling from Florida to Puerto Rico. Golf bets frequently feature head-to-head wagering. WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, predictions, field, odds: Golf Golf betting record in 2023 through Pebble Beach: 7-17-1, -3.114 units (0-5 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets) One-and-Done record in 2023: $553,137.22 (Matthew Fitzpatrick at Pebble, $0) PGA Tour. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. Those two golf courses are much better for him than Rivera, which will expose the worst parts of his game. Over his past 14 starts worldwide, hes notched 10 top-20 finishes, including a win on the DP World Tour and a T-2 in his most recent start. It has a variety of futures, as well. Schauffeles short game has left him at times recently, costing him valuable strokes coming down the stretch. Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our red-hot experts make a Now were getting a little bold. According to fellow tour pro Xander Schauffele, yes, he most certainly does. And most importantly, our experts have hit an outright winner in three consecutive weeksthanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week. Amateur in 2017, but no U.S. Open since 1948. Golf Odds, Picks And Props: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational - Forbes However, sometimes things happen beyond our control. His advanced metrics show a well-rounded golfer who can compete in strong fields. RELATED:PGA Championship 2022 picks: The 13 best bets to win at Southern Hills, Most Likely To Disappoint: Webb Simpson ($7,800 DraftKings | $9,400 FanDuel). Despite the fact that Horschel's results so far in 2023 haven't been promising, we think that's a bet well . Though still volatile, hes starting to get a hair more consistentposting three top-five finishes in his past eight starts. Hes historically one of the better short-game players on tour, gaining 0.71 strokes around-the-green and on the green over his past 100 rounds. You bet on a particular golfer before the tournament starts in the hopes that they will win the event, just like with other sports future wagers. Zalatoris has finished worse than the tournament average in four of his last five tournaments, including one finish three strokes behind the leader. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. Both of those skill-sets should be critical at Southern Hills, plus add in the WD last week due to injuryand there are more questions than answers for Koepka. RELATED: Phil Mickelson drops to depressingly low standing in the Official World Golf Ranking. Expert Picks: Genesis Scottish Open - PGATour Thanks to its growing popularity in the sports betting market. managing editor: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) This is inching toward a community bet, and golf betting isnt that easy. Pick To Win: Hideki Matsuyama ($9,200 DraftKings | $10,800 FanDuel). He might not win this loaded event, but hes worth a look for some placement finishes at what is sure to be a good number. Over the past 36 rounds, Rahm is gaining a staggering 3.01 strokes per roundthe most in the field, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Corey Conners ($7,600 DraftKings | $9,600 FanDuel). 4. He held the lead at this event in 2021 heading into the back nine on Sunday. The guy who misses the best is going to win. RELATED: Our latest podcast explores the gambling revolution already hitting golf, Pick To Win: Billy Horschel ($7,400 DraftKings | $9,100 FanDuel). I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. The top 10, where the golfer is just one or two strokes away from winning, can be a predictor of future success. From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) The best thing about betting on golf is that there are so many ways to get involved. Having returned to his alma maters home state of Texas, the 25-year-old is the clear favorite, and a win here may be just the beginning for this talented golfer. His approach play since the U.S. Open has been pedestrian, but hes gained over seven strokes in his past seven roundsthe rate we would expect from Thomas. Its a coin flip to me who holds the belt at the end of the season, so Ill gladly take the plus money on the player with far better course history. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "Be Right," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Kim has the third-best odds behind Sungjae Im and Hideki Matsuyama but I love his fit here. With the U.S. Open awarded to nearby LA Country Club for 2023, it doesnt appear Riviera will get another Open (though it will host the 2028 Olympics). Zalatoris had a surprising missed cut last week at the AT&T Byron Nelson, but its not time to abandon him. Now with football behind us, golf betting should be the focus for many. Its fun to watch golf, but its even more fun to win big when you bet on the events. Now everybody's hopping off at 65-1?. However, he hasnt needed that skill recently, gaining a staggering 20.4 strokes on approach over his past three starts. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions, expert picks, odds, golf His past 13 individual events have produced zero top 30s, and hes losing strokes in nearly every category. Honda Classic DFS picks 2023: Play this breakout star at PGA National J.T. Hatton has historically been a good iron player, gaining 0.25 strokes per round over his past 100 rounds. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. Vegas struggles around-the-greens, and hes dismal once he gets on the putting surfaces. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? CrazyTown, USA. One and Done Pick for WM Phoenix Open: Xander Schauffele. This would be his first since he claimed the 2019 Open title. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. The Wake Forest connection with Arnold Palmer is obvious, but more so, hes very much like Rory in that hes a bomber who likes to move it from right to left. About Us High Upside: Kevin Na ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,200 FanDuel). RELATED: Here are the odds of every player in the field at the 2022 PGA Championship, Safest Option: Justin Thomas ($10,700 DraftKings | $11,700 FanDuel). Homa enters this week's event as one of the best putters on tour, ranking second . Hes one of the best iron players on the planet and is in the midst of the best putting year of his career. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Genesis Invitational. WM Phoenix Open 2023 expert picks, best bets for PGA Tour this week He just needs to translate that global success to the PGA Tour, but his skill set should match up to Riviera. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. Atop the FedEx Cup rankings, he has a knack for diving deep, which will come in handy as he is one of our PGA picks. Hes trending toward another victory. Most essential will be navigating the renovated greens and the surrounds, which will be treacherous to recover from. At the beginning of the season, sportsbooks will give you value odds on players to win future tour events, as there is no form to base the latest golf odds. The MC at Riviera was mainly due to his short game. Clippers and Warriors fighting for fifth spot in NBA's West: Best Picks When it comes to attacking the Sedgefield CC course, the South Korean has the ideal skill set, as he frequently splits fairways and ignites his scoring clubs. Its terrifying to fade the two-time PGA champion, but with the plethora of great names in this price range, this feels like the most natural fade. The rating, however, was a 0.23 because Golf Channel is in fewer homes than the CW Network. You can bet on the outright winner. Sportsbooks have Will Zalatoris, Shane Lowry, and Sungjae IM at the top of the betting board as the tour goes to Memphis next week for the FedEx St. Jude Championship. Fading public in Pelicans-Blazers and PGA special: Best Picks for Gehman: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) There are more questions than answers in Thomas game right now as he continues to show inconsistencies with his best attributehis approach play. Pick To Win: Joaquin Niemann ($8,500 DraftKings | $10,200 FanDuel). Follow him on Twitter: @gdula13. But, as Schauffele explained on Friday at Bay Hill, Kitayama lifts like one. Gdula: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other places. The golf picks team has researched the odds board with sportsbooks like FanDuel golf odds and listed its top Wyndham Championship golf picks above. This includes the United States, to who they believe will make the cut, or even who they believe will shoot an ace. When comparing price and skill-set to his peers, hes the odd man out. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to, High Upside: Max Homa ($8,100 DraftKings | $9,800 FanDuel). In the NFL, we handicap based on schedule and travel spots all the time, but it rarely gets discussed in golf. Niemann has every shot in his repertoire, which will certainly be required around Southern Hills. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. We provide comprehensive form guides, as well as news and links to the appropriate betting markets for PGA picks, to help you make informed golf bets. When it comes to the largest tournaments, some bookmakers give up to 8 or 10 spots. But no, this was a standalone PGA Tour event that saw just three of the world's top 20 golfers participating. The second major of the season is upon us with million-dollar prizes up for grabs for DFS players on DraftKings and big money on FanDuel. In terms of pure value, youd be hard pressed to find a better bet on the board than the former Masters champion. Safest Option: Matt Fitzpatrick ($7,900 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Houston Open: Jason Day. Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks Golf Digest Speaking of sour short games, enter Corey Conners. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. To get you in the mood, you can place bets on things like who will win rookie of the year or who will be declared FedEx Cup champion before the season even starts. Pick to Win WM Phoenix Open (0.5 Units): Xander Schauffele (+1400). Riviera is a much more friendly setup to Theegala than TPC Scottsdale. There are several propositional bets available in addition to the more traditional bets that may be found for every tournament. Riviera will reward distance, a solid short game and experience en route to success this week. Being responsible about gambling means knowing whether to gamble, Compared to other top players, he has much less experience at Bay Hillplaying here just once, finishing T-49 in 2015. This season, hes tour average (-0.01), and hes having the worst approach and putting season in half a decade. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy. It . Latest golf news from PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, KornFerry TOUR Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Get the free Action Network app for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more. And even on prestigious stages, such as the Masters Tournament, when players like Charl Schwartzel and Angel Cabrera won against the odds of +10000 and +12500. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. The Wake Forest star remains one of the best drivers of the ball on long golf courses, as well as one of the best long iron players in the field. Past results: Ladies and gentlemen, we are officially heating up. It will feature a talented field of golfers. Hes been bleeding strokes back to the field the closer he gets to the green. He held the lead at this event in 2021 heading into the back nine on Sunday. Check out some of the best photos from the week at The King's. Feb 13, 2022; Scottsdale, Arizona, USA; Patrick Cantlay plays hit tee shot on the par 3 16th hole during the final round of the WM Phoenix Open golf tournament. Everything that we just said about Schauffele applies here. Bay Hill Club and Lodge will once again host this great event, which will begin on Thursday morning. Its time for Billy to break through, and theres a lot of evidence that he will again soon. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, predictions, field, odds: Golf expert fading Justin Thomas at Bay Hill. He won this event in 2016 and has four top-25s in his past six trips. If you thought last weeks elevated event was big, itll be basically the same field at a major-championship caliber golf course, all while injecting Tiger Woods into the field! PGA Tour . Players 2023: The 13 best bets to win at TPC Sawgrass Below, we look at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds and make our PGA Read more on usatoday.com. If I was designing a golf course specifically for Cameron Youngs skill-set, it would look a whole lot like Bay Hill, as the 26-year-old remains one of the most dominant drivers of the ball in the world and an excellent long iron player. Even if you get one of those long shots, you may walk away with a tidy profit. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. Featured Recent Fantasy DFS Betting This is some of the best golf Hatton has played in quite some time. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the most in a single event since his win in Memphis, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. 1 and has won four times in his. Top 7 Pga Picks This Week Golf Digest Honda: Chris Kirk. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 props, odds, field: Expert head-to-head 7800. Hennessey: Keith Mitchell This is a bolder call, but I can afford to be a little bold after getting a win from Chris Kirk last week. American Express: Brian Harman. I simply had to find a way to get the two guys who have been head and shoulders above every player in the world over the past few months on this betting card and this feels like a great way to do so. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. He faltered and finished third but has racked up four PGA Tour wins since that disappointment. Outside of the Zurich Classic, where Grace partnered with Garrick Higgo, he hasnt threatened a top 20 in 2022. McIlroy, for his part, was T13 in his lone appearance here in 2021. Each-way betting is quite similar to placing a bet on someone to win an event in the future. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, PGA Championship 2022 DFS picks: A surprising fade and bold plays from our data scientist, significant restoration by Gil Hanse and his team a few years ago, Fans are freaking out over the beer (and water) prices at Southern Hills. PGA Tour - Golf News, Scores, Stats, Standings, and Rumors Luckily for Thomas, he has both. Only Scottie Scheffler has gained more strokes per round than Cantlay over the past 50 rounds. Which ball counts? Farmers: Will Zalatoris. A tie for ninth place at the Irish Open and a tie for a twenty-first place at St. Andrews are recent finishes. Final Card: The Honda Classic The Press: A Golf Betting Podcast 18:35 49 . Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) In a shocking turn of events, its his approach play that has held him back. After finishing T14 at this tournament last year, I like for Kirk to follow that up with another Top 20 at terrific odds. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. While the first playoff event is typically reserved for the top. He ranks third over the past 32 rounds in Strokes Gained: Approach and has continued to trend up. He's got 18.78 percent of the vote, followed by Will Zalatoris (15.66 percent) and Shane Lowry (15.46 percent). No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. A compact and shrewd design by George C. Thomas Jr. and associate William P. Bell, Riviera features everything from a long Redan par 3 to a bunker in the middle of a green to an alternate-fairway par 4. For a second straight week we have an elevated field, and now with Will Zalatoris here we have 23 of the top 25 players in the worldits only fitting that the stars have shown out in Los Angeles. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. He won the Masters by a slender margin, giving him his first green jacket. Mitchells ball-striking should put him in the mix here, and I love the Bermuda putting splits. At first glance, you might not consider Kitayama as a big boy with his 5-foot-7, 170-pound frame. Golf betting record in 2023 through Pebble Beach:7-17-1, -3.114 units (0-5 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets)One-and-Done record in 2023: $553,137.22 (Matthew Fitzpatrick at Pebble, $0), Top 10 pick for WM Phoenix Open: Justin Thomas (+220). As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. Scottie won Phoenix, Rahm won Riv. Golf Digest - Stephen Hennessey 5h. Golf Digest - Does Kurt Kitayama even lift, bro? Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. Looking at the top-four finishers at The Honda Classic, you would've thought this event was being held at the same time as a marquee golf tournament (like the Puerto Rico Open will be going against the Arnold Palmer Invitational this coming week).. Mitchell has proven to possess a few skills that will be very valuable at Southern Hills. Rahm didnt have his best stuff in Phoenix, and he was still in contention throughout the entirety of the event. 72-hole winning score: 279.5 (Par 288) In total, 27 of the top 30 players in the Official World Golf Rankings tee it up at Bay Hill. We try hard to make sure that the site is up to date at all times. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. 2023 WM Phoenix Open odds, expert picks to win, course history Of the 13 golfers priced in the $9,000 range or higher, Koepka has the second-worst SG/approach over the past 24 rounds, and he has the fourth-worst SG/around the green mark. Before this week's PGA Tour event, McDonald has locked in his best bets for the 2023 Sony Open. Hes riding a super-hot putter and is the most overvalued of the favorites, per my model. Dont gamble unless you know the facts. The PGA Tour stays in Florida this week with the 2022 Players Championship set to tee off on Thursday, March 10 at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Fla.. 'Golf's fifth major' will feature a. Hes a great fit and, even if he doesnt cash an outright for us, hes still been good enough at this event to get us a nice chunk. The Irishmans best finishes came at the Masters (T3), Honda Classic (runner-up), and RBC Heritage. Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, and Predictions - 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Your sportsbooks per-place payout will vary from one book to another, so be careful to compare them before placing an each-way bet. Matsuyama has battled injury this year, but when hes played he has played well. The Tour Championship is the pinnacle of achievement on the PGA TOUR. The PGA Championship will be held at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma. He has two top-17 finishes in his past three trips to this event and is coming off a T-10 in Phoenix last week. The short par-70 course proved to be a success for Kevin Kisner. Wednesday's best picks NBA money line: Pelicans over Trail Blazers (WON $31.50) PGA, Arnold Palmer Invitational: Will Zalatoris to finish in the top 10 (PENDING $10 to win $23) 2021 Valspar Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from The good, the bad and the unknown about the PGA Tour's new 'Designated Hes a big hitter with an all-around game. 2022 Zurich Classic odds, field, best bets and PGA Tour picks - Golfweek The Cheat Sheet provides DraftKings fantasy golf players with course info, player history and the most noteworthy trends of the week to help them with their roster selections. This is the second time this year that Ive put my stock in Xander Schauffele and I feel even better about it here. The PGA Tour and LPGA Tour announced a new mixed-team event that will debut later this year in Florida and replace the QBE Shootout. He enters the competition ranked 27th in the FedEx Cup standings (seventh among players who have never won). PGA Championship picks 2022: Players to Fade This Week (who will disappoint) Caddie: Jon Rahm (11-1, DraftKings) There will be testy 5- to 10-footers all week and Rahm has been shaky at. Since its opening in March 1993, the golf course at Links Hope Island has regularly featured among the leading courses in Australia. Most Likely To Disappoint: Brooks Koepka ($9,000 DraftKings | $11,300 FanDuel). Hes finished T2 and T3 here in the past two years, so I love for him to continue in that space and come through as the winner in this elevated event. Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. 2022 The American Express odds, field: Surprising PGA picks . Previously, rough surrounded most greensso you faced a straightforward pitch around the greens. But its easy to see why we all like Z this week. Caddie: Max Homa (+130) over Scottie Scheffler (DraftKings) Homas ball-striking is in an elite category right now, and theres no reason to believe he shouldnt keep up his hot form. Southern Hills hosts the PGA Championship, and its the first time weve seen this venue since the 2007 PGA, won by Tiger Woods. With the PGA picks this week, there could be a lot of drama on the leaderboard as well. Its yet another elevated event on the PGA Tourso its dangerous to put our chips down on one name over 20-1, but thats what were doing. Pick To Win: Keith Mitchell ($6,600 DraftKings | $8,100 FanDuel). Genesis: Justin Thomas. SRP: $379.95 BOA; $329.95 lace HyperFlex Finely tuned Read more. Our outright panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from the grounds at Bay Hill; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; and your two authorsis all aboard the Willy Z train. Expert Picks: BMW Championship - PGATour There are many bookmakers that offer head-to-head matchup golf betting odds for every round of the tournament, as well as for the full event. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) For the first time this year, Zalatoris looks like himself again. PGA Picks This Week 2023: PGA Tour Expert Picks and Best Bets Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Bay Hill has been a ball-strikers paradise historically, and theres no better ball-striker to go to war with (besides Willy Z) than Kawa. Sam Burns ($9,100 DraftKings | $10,600 FanDuel). Hes been elite off the tee, gaining 17.49 strokes over his past six measured starts. But one of the best things to come from the week at Riviera was a viral video that showed a 9-year-old heart transplant recipient, Madelyn Quinn, holding a poster behind the 17th hole, . The hope is that Matsuyama finds his DNA this week and puts it all together.